El mejor antídoto contra la incertidumbre

Por Javier Abdala, Account Development Manager SAS México.

En la industria mundial del petróleo y el gas, existe un refrán clásico que aún se puede escuchar: “todas las perspectivas se ven muy bien…hasta que empiezas a perforar”.

Más allá de su ironía, la frase es un recordatorio de la incertidumbre que rodea al sector. Por ejemplo, según un estudio del Foro Económico Mundial (WEF, por sus siglas en inglés), la perforación de un solo pozo marítimo (offshore) implica una inversión de entre $200 y $400 millones de dólares, un gasto que quizá no sea retribuido ya que apenas el 25% de estos fosos se materializa en un proyecto rentable.

La dificultad para ofrecer certezas tiene su origen en la complejidad del sector. En las actividades esenciales de la industria (exploración, extracción, refinación y distribución), hay múltiples factores y riesgos que influyen en el desempeño general del negocio; y dichos elementos provienen de ámbitos muy diferentes -geología, medioambiente, regulaciones, nive les de consumo energético (por temporada y por país), logística, entornos geopolíticos y un largo etcétera.

En un contexto así, en donde un fenómeno atmosférico o una crisis gubernamental tienen el mismo poder para alterar la actividad del sector, la estabilidad parece una meta imposible. Sin embargo, gracias a las innovaciones en analítica avanzada, el sector del petróleo y gas ya está superando el reto de la incertidumbre.

Al utilizar analítica especializada en el nicho energético, las empresas -en todas las áreas y funciones críticas de negocio- aprovechan sus datos para monitorear las operaciones, detectar tendencias y prever escenarios, lo que les brinda una mejor capacidad de reacción ante las circunstancias del mercado.

Con Advanced Analytics, las organizaciones de la industria pueden realizar acciones como:

  • Interpretar diversos indicadores (información geológica, química, historial de perforaciones previas en la zona, etc.) para estimar el potencial de un pozo (de cualquier categoría, como aguas profundas, petróleo pesado, gas y petróleo de esquisto -Shale Oil, Shale Gas-, arenas de alquitrán); esto ayuda a calcular el riesgo y el monto de inversión, así como el lapso en el que se recuperaría el gasto.
  • Tener una visión completa y oportuna de todas las operaciones, y que abarque distintas disciplinas, departamentos y hasta subcontratistas. Con esta perspectiva única, las compañías vigilan el avance de las metas de producción, garantizan la seguridad de las actividades, dan mantenimiento proactivo a su costosa infraestructura (ya que monitorean el rendimiento de la totalidad de los equipos), y verifican el cumplimiento de diversas regulaciones, entre otros beneficios.
  • Bajo un modelo predictivo What if… (¿qué pasaría si…?), capacidad para realizar simulaciones que permitan prever el efecto en el negocio de múltiples situaciones; por ejemplo: una caída o aumento en la demanda de productos refinados y sus consecuencias en las cadenas de distribución (regionales e internacionales).
  • Definir estrategias verdaderamente integrales, ya que con Advanced Analytics es posible crear planes que consideran todos los procesos relevantes de la industria: exploración, perforación, refinación, gestión de reservas, distribución y comercialización.

Para las organizaciones de este ramo energético, dichas capacidades -que apenas son una muestra del potencial de la tecnología- significan el acceso a nuevas opciones de eficiencia, control y rentabilidad. Mejor aún: los beneficios pueden trascender las fronteras del sector.

De acuerdo con la investigación del WEF, para 2025, la industria del petróleo y el gas, gracias a la eficacia operativa que aportan las innovaciones analíticas, podría contribuir con otros indicadores muy valiosos:

  • Una reducción estimada de 54,000 barriles de crudo en los derrames causados por operaciones de exploración y extracción.
  • La liberación de 800 millones de galones de agua, líquido que la industria dejaría de utilizar y que podrá asignarse a objetivos de mayor impacto social.
  • Una caída del 3% en los accidentes y lesiones graves que se presentan en el sector.
  • 350 millones de toneladas: disminución estimada en emisiones de carbono.

Al aprovechar las innovaciones analíticas, las empresas de este nicho energético descubrirán que la inestabilidad y la incertidumbre no son condenas inevitables, sino condiciones que se pueden superar. No importa lo que afirmen los mitos de la industria.

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Buzz, buzz A flying ant flew back from a distance and landed on the fingertips.It has shortcomings such as a small amount of ammunition, short range, and fragility, but it also has advantages such as high lethality and impact of the hammer.

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Li Shiming placed the Babel Compass in the center, and then took out all the obtained Hell Tired Crystal Essence and placed them around the Babel Compass.The flying sword shot at the Monkey King. The Monkey King s body rolled, and the claws of his hands and feet grabbed the flying sword at the same time.

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He also wanted to refine all the remaining fourth grade elixirs into fourth grade elixirs.It has recovered. Although it has been delayed for many years, it is not without achievements Jian Wuwei flicked his fingers, and a sword intention appeared in front of his fingers.

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He also used the secret method of lightning resistance, so he didn t die on the spot.In the Ten Thousand Beasts Sect, even if the great monk Hu was his master, he would not ask him to come over and brew the fourth grade spiritual tea.

From my point of view, your uncle s alchemy level completely surpasses that alchemy master.Hey He found that Li Shiming in front of him suddenly stopped, seemingly waiting for him.

Zhongzhou Trading Company is a super power after all.Because the great power has spent thousands of years refining the Shenxiao Thunder Bead , with this level of refining, even if a great power of the same level takes action, it will not be possible to make the Shenxiao Thunder Bead belong to the Jade Qing Sect in a short time.

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He is a disciple of the great monk Wang He of the Yuqing Sect.Master Li, you are a client of a trading company. I will charge you the highest purchase price.

Li Yuanba just meets all the conditions. This is the glimmer of hope left by heaven and earth.No matter how he extracted it, Li Shiming just opened his mouth and made no mistakes.

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Dongtian is extremely important to the pavilion. One more Dongtian may be able to create an additional half step expert Wu Qi said with hope in his eyes.Second Combining Semaglutide and Metformin for Weight Loss Senior Brother, I ve only been away for a few years, why don t you recognize me Li Shiming said with a smile.

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At this moment, everyone in the wine shop was alarmed by the situation outside and came out to watch.Then let s go to Qianzang Mountain Ye Fei couldn t wait.

To be honest, my father was once a disciple of Tongtian Academy.These people are the supervisors of the Yin Yang Sect.

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Okay, let s not talk about this anymore. Leave here quickly and find a safe place.Ji Shui s body returned to Wang s house. She was already disheartened and did not want to discuss anyone anymore.

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The other party is a terrifying master, and the temperature on the top of Mount Emei is cold and frosty, which destroyed some evidence at the scene Long Yan, a middle aged beautiful woman, told seriously Ye Fei.He knew that cooperating with that place was tantamount to seeking skin from a tiger and not ending well.

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After confirming that the other party dared to accept anything of unknown origin, he took out the items in the ring without hesitation.There is still a long way to go to Wandan City. Don t be in a hurry.

She suspected that Mo Xingyu already knew something and went to verify it, so she wanted to find out where Mo Xingyu got it.Soon, Tian Yan appeared at the teleportation domain gate and sternly scolded the several persons in charge guarding the teleportation domain gate.

it would be impossible to recover without March and May.He is indeed a big shot, a very famous disciple of Tongtian Academy Disciple Even the elders respect the disciple so much Ye Fei couldn t help but be stunned and looked at Bai Yan in disbelief.

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